Health Policies and Plans in Latin America and the Caribbean

Relevantamiento de Planes y Políticas Nacionales de Salud:
Resultados e Implicaciones

Flu Models: Swine Flu Here to Stay?

By Patrick Oppmann
CNN

SEATTLE, Washington (CNN) -- Predicting the path of a swine flu outbreak is next to impossible, public health officials say. But Dr. Ira Longini has spent more than three decades trying to do just that.

Dr. Ira Longini studies simulations of hypothetical influenzas and how they would spread. And Longini says the apparent new strain of swine flu appears to be here to stay. "We are probably going to have to live with this virus for some time," he told CNN.

Managing evidence-based knowledge

Managing evidence-based knowledge:
the need for reliable, relevant and readable resources

Sharon Straus is with the LiKaShing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael’s Hospital, University of Toronto,
R. Bryan Haynes is with the Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont. Canada
Canadian Medical Association CMAJ • April 28, 2009; 180 (9). doi:10.1503/cmaj.081697

Available online at: http://www.cmaj.ca/cgi/reprint/180/9/942

Contribution of Primary Care to Health Systems and Health

BARBARA STARFIELD, LEIYU SHI, and JAMES MACINKO
Johns Hopkins University; New York University
The Milbank Quarterly, Vol. 83, No. 3, 2005 (pp. 457–502)

Available online PDF [46p.] at: http://www.jhsph.edu/pcpc/Publications_PDFs/2005_MQ_Starfield.pdf

WHO Pandemic Alert Levels

Will the Swine Flu of 2009 become a pandemic, and if so when?

Review the WHO Pandemic Alert Levels below, consider the cases in Mexico, the U.S., and Canada alone, not withstanding the rapid and uncontrolled spread to other countries throughout the world, and come to your own conclusion.

WHO ALERT LEVELS
In Phase 1 no viruses among animals reported to have caused infections in humans.

In Phase 2 animal flu virus is known to have caused infection in humans and is potential pandemic threat.

Cholera Infection Continues to Slow in Southern Africa, UN Says

April 22, 2009

The cholera epidemic in southern Africa continues to abate, but international and local health authorities stress the need to remain vigilant, the United Nations reported.

"Overall, the duration and magnitude of the epidemic underscores the need for strengthening surveillance, preparedness and underscores plans in all countries," according to the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA).

WHAT IS A RESILIENT RESPONSE TO SWINE FLU?

[from White House briefing 4 26 09]

It’s important that people understand that there’s a role for everyone to play when there’s an outbreak going on. There are things that individuals do, there are things that families do, communities do and the government and international agencies do to reduce the impact.
At the individual level, it is important that each of us understand how we can prevent respiratory infections. Very frequent hand-washing is something that we talk about time and time again because it is an effective way to reduce transmission of disease.

The Swine Web: CDC, Mash-ups, tweets, & more

Google Flu Trends, has been updating itself with data and news stories about the swine flu pandemic. One might question the veracity of the tracking given the potential interest in pandemic possibilities. In describing how Flu Trends tracks outbreaks: "We've found that there is a close relationship between how many people search for flu-related topics and how many people actually have flu symptoms," reads an explanation on the site.

Seven People in U.S. Hit by Strange New Swine Flu

Hello,

We are writing you today in light of the unusual strain of swine influenza which has sickened at least seven people in the U.S. The CDC said that the virus is a new mixture of viruses typical among pigs, birds and humans. The World Health Organization said it was concerned about what it called 800 "influenza-like" cases in Mexico, and also about a confirmed outbreak of a new strain of swine flu in the United States. The Reuters story on this is copied below.

Five amazing mobile projects

http://www.techleader.co.za/stevevosloo/2009/02/27/five-amazing-mobile-projects/

At the Web4Dev conference in New York I met with the founders, inventors and creators of some pretty amazing mobile-for-development projects. Below are my top five with some thoughts on how they could be used for education.

Ushahidi

INSTEDD: Open Collaboration

Sunday, March 1, 2009

Open Collaboration Experiment around Emergency Alerts, Disasters, Market Recalls, and More...

We set up two open collaboration spaces around up-to-date notifications and alerts on the following:

- Emergency Preparedness & Response alerts, Recent Outbreaks and Incidents, Clinician Outreach and Communication Activity (COCA), and Public Service Announcements for Hurricanes from US CDC

- Recalls, market withdrawals and safety alerts from the the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)

McKinsey on Climate Change

LEGO and Mobile Solutions

What LEGO and Mobile Solutions Have in Common
There has long been discussions of using the current mobile app solutions to let end-users pick and choose between available services. Something like LEGO, where you pick and choose the right pieces that work for your particular need. A real toolbox of apps that actually work together, and can be connected easily by anyone, without the need of deep technological background.

ASEAN and the Human Security Index

On Apr 17, 2009, at 4:17 PM, david hastings wrote:

Dear Khun Dr. Surin,

I hope that, despite recent incidents, this message finds you in the best of health and spirits. I appreciate that you may be focused on next steps after these recent events. Thus I have copied Khun Dr. Termsak Chalermpalanupap on this message. Perhaps he can revisit the issue with you at an appropriate time, if you/he consider it worthwhile.

This message is intended to be upbeat, imagining a possible win-win by ASEAN (and perhaps yourself?) and ASEAN Members in an area which apparently interests you:

Moving from relief to resilience: the role of business in disaster risk reduction

Date:8 April 2009
Source(s):Corporate Social Responsibility Asia (CSR Asia)

Helen Roeth reports that according to the Swiss Reinsurance Company Sigma report, catastrophes and man-made disasters caused 240,500 deaths in 2008, with economic losses up to 269 billion dollars - and numbers are expected to increase due to climate change factors and economic severity of catastrophes.

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