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SO-H1N1 ("Swine Flu") Outbreak of 2009

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Dear colleagues, Resilience Network principals, and FAC teams leads,

We are on the cusp of a Phase 6 pandemic alert by WHO. According to its own rules, the phase 6 alert should have already been announced. However, with the SO-H1N1 global outbreak being relatively mild so far, as it is spreading globally, there is a concern about over-reaction by the public and governments that would further hurt our already ailing global economy.

The days, weeks, and months ahead will be full of difficult decisions. One way to help with reducing the economic pain and consequences of errors of omission that might lead to greater infection and premature death is to fully engage the civil society and educate the general public.

Please let us know if you have comments or questions, by posting below. The mission of this working group space is to track the flow of the SO-H1N1/2009 ("Swine Flu) global outbreak, and to create the collective intelligence to optimally anticipate, prepare, and respond to whatever is coming in terms of the economic, social, health and human consequences.

Mike

Michael D. McDonald, Dr.P.H.
President
Global Health Initiatives, Inc.

Coordinator
Global Resilience System

Principal Investigator
Disaster Knowledge Management System
Resilience Networks

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H1N1 (Swine Flu) Outbreak working group is structured for establishing collective intelligence regarding the outbreak.
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admin ChrisAllen DarrellDarnell DeannaPolk efrost fosternt
jamisonday JaniceFlanders MarylynMcDonald njchapman QuentinEichbaum rwelborn

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81 U.S. healthcare workers found to have H1N1 virus

http://www.latimes.com/news/science/la-sci-flu19-2009jun19,0,7665352.story
From the Los Angeles Time

The CDC says about half the workers caught the virus while on the job. The finding suggests that hospitals and workers need to be more careful about limiting the spread of the virus.

By Thomas H. Maugh II

11:48 PM PDT, June 18, 2009

At least 81 U.S. healthcare workers have contracted laboratory-confirmed cases of the novel H1N1 influenza virus and about half caught the bug on the job, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said today.

First wave of flu exposed gaps in supply chain

By Stephen Smith
Globe Staff / June 15, 2009

The arrival of swine flu in the United States exposed gaps in the supply chain that delivers medication, masks, and even testing swabs to hospitals and doctors' offices - shortcomings that could prove vastly more worrisome if a deadlier strain returns in the fall, officials say.

Australia flu model: 20% morbidity = 80,000 hospitalized and 6000 deaths

Article from: The Australian

SWINE flu could infect one in five Australians, kill up to 6000 and hospitalise up to 80,000 if left unchecked and untreated, according to the first official modelling of the disease's potential spread.

Federal Health Minister Nicola Roxon yesterday announced a hasty redesign of Australia's pandemic management plan and alert phases to keep the toll from the H1N1 flu strain below those levels, but acknowledged the disease had spread beyond her power to contain it.

Weapon against epidemics: Cell phones

Disease-control software in cell phones is touted as boon to global public health

More than half of world's cell phones are in developing countries

Health workers in Kenya stopped spread of polio in '07 using EpiSurveyor

Kenyan health care worker: Relaying information at appropriate time is life-saving

updated 7:38 a.m. EDT, Tue June 16, 2009
Next Article in Technology »

By Azadeh Ansari
CNN

New Strain of H1N1 in Brazil

Brazilian scientists have identified a new strain of the H1N1 virus after examining samples from a patient in Sao Paulo, their institute said Tuesday. The variant has been called A/Sao Paulo/1454/H1N1 by the Adolfo Lutz Bacteriological Institute, which compared it with samples of the A(H1N1) swine flu from California. The genetic sequence of the new sub-type of the H1N1 virus was isolated by a virology team lead by one of its researchers, Terezinha Maria de Paiva, the institute said in a statement.

For more information:

Australia flu 'may tip pandemic'

The World Health Organization last declared a pandemic 41 years ago
A sharp increase in swine flu cases in Australia may mean the infection has become a pandemic, the World Health Organization says.
For that to happen, officials would have to verify that the disease had become established outside North America, where the crisis began.
"Once I get indisputable evidence, I will make the announcement," said WHO director general, Margaret Chan.
More than 1,200 people have contracted the virus in Australia - none fatally.
The total means Australia has seen a four-fold increase in a week.

Thomas Frieden Chosen as Next CDC Director

President Obama will announce on Friday that he has chosen Dr. Thomas R.
Frieden, the New York City health commissioner, as the next director of the
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, administration officials said
Thursday.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/15/health/policy/15cdc.html

http://www.nyc.gov/html/doh/html/commish/combio.shtml

WHO: Two Billion Might Become Infected with H1N1/2009 "Swine Flu"

Updated: 2009-05-08 10:02
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/life/2009-05/08/content_7757010.htm

GENEVA – Up to 2 billion people could be infected by swine flu if the current outbreak turns into a pandemic lasting two years, the World Health Organization said Thursday. WHO flu chief Keiji Fukuda said the historical record of flu pandemics indicates one-third of the world's population gets infected in such outbreaks. Independent experts agreed that the estimate was possible but pointed out that many would not show any symptoms.

May 6 Trend Update on the H1N1 Flu Outbreak of Spring 2009

It appears that the U.S. and Mexico are emerging out of their concern regarding 2009 H1N1 hitting as a rapidly spreading lethal outbreak this spring. We now have over 1000 confirmed cases and very possibly thousands of infections worldwide. These infections will still increase.

Pandemic influenza preparedness in Latin America: analysis of national strategic plans

Ana Mensua, Sandra Mounier-Jack and Richard Coker
Communicable Disease Policy Research Group, Health Policy Unit, Department of Public health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Health Policy and Planning Advance Access published May 1, 2009
Published by Oxford University Press in association with The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
Health Policy and Planning 2009;1–8 doi:10.1093/heapol/czp019

Full text at: http://bit.ly/AsZJI

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