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Analysis: The U.S. states that are returning to pre-pandemic normal the fastest

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  • Data show the ten states closest to the pre-pandemic normal are Connecticut, Rhode Island, Nebraska, South Dakota, West Virginia, Montana, Iowa, Idaho, Oklahoma, and Nevada. 

Republican states are leading the way in terms of economic recovery since the beginning of the pandemic, according to recent analyses. But a host of factors, including remote working options and early pandemic statewide environments played a major role in how quickly a state could return to the pre-pandemic normal.  

A Moody’s Analytics index has tracked the country’s economic recovery since the pandemic began based on 13 metrics, including the value of goods and services produced, employment, retail sales and new-home listings. 

Moody’s latest numbers through the end of June show seven out of the ten leading states voted Republican, while separate data show that U.S. residents are relocating en mass. Their top choices, according to the data, are Republican led. 

Data show the ten states closest to the pre-pandemic normal are Connecticut, Rhode Island, Nebraska, South Dakota, West Virginia, Montana, Iowa, Idaho, Oklahoma, and Nevada. 

A separate Moody’s analysis of 46 million people who moved to different U.S. zip codes in a 12-month period ending Feb. 2022 shows Florida, Texas and North Carolina leading a group of Republican states welcoming the most new residents, according to The Wall Street Journal

This migration may be partly attributed to flexibility made possible by remote working options, allowing people to move to less expensive locales, Moody’s analyst Matt Colyar told Changing American in an interview.  

“What we’ve seen is a noticeable effect of the migration trends that everybody’s talking about, whether it’s housing, home prices or what have you,” Colyar said. 

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