I have been proposing that, rather than trying to foresee the future, we consider accepting and conducting further research on a much more fundamental, all-encompassing and long-term-resilient approach to our built environment. I have been proposing that such an elemental approach should be structural adaptivity. I believe that our world must and will give maximum adaptivity to the basic elements of our built environment to adjust to and meet our needs for the unpredictable, rapidly changing world over the next 50-100 years.
In working on this, I conducted an Exercise. I experimented with a number of different future conditions, or scenarios, that I think are quite possible. The first two that drew my strongest concern were the conflicting scenarios of: (1) how planners might address our urban areas after global warming has abated – and the problem is continuous hot weather and more storms – as opposed to (2) how planners are now addressing the need to stop or slow down global warming. I also experimented with additional scenarios that I do not think we are able to, presently, forecast accurately. Most of them, however, I believe will surface eventually, in one way or another, and cause huge problems.